Tuesday, September 29, 2015

13th August 2015 China a threat? & another form of "Inside Trade"?!?!

The agenda presented by the club secretary Mr. D. Brooke
Subjects presented in order with the secretary's recorded introduction

Introduction 

Recorded Introduction:
Link to alternative site for immediate play 
[ASC Audio_ 18 08/15 ]


Audio_18 08/15

Present 1.

A incisive commentary on China by two academics. Aligning economics and military strategies 
of the China's Communist Party into a prediction as to China's threat to the region as a whole. We were told of the three stage development since the late 1970's:-

  •     1980 to the mid-1990's, industralisation to sustain China's domestic needs.
  •     1995 to 2008 China's growth into the export markets.
  •     2004 to 2014 infrastructure development and consequent exponential rise of debt.

The academic economist producing factual figures pertaining -- labour and capital inputs -- to support opinion as to where China is now ( "middle income nation"?!?!) and where it's likely to head for at least till 2035.  The spokesperson addressing military aspects supported by economic growth -- he indicated earlier history has shown though in "lock step" can work in reverse -- detailed China's relationships with countries immediate and some further geographically removed. 

The remainder of his talk is on the subject of (1) The communist structure of its military and the culture within that structure. (2) The limitations on defending its vast boarders (land and sea); the limitation of success in launching a amphibian assault. (3) In general how China's munitions (as a non-global strategic power) stacks up against those of the US and others claiming free World status.(4) Combat weaponry both land and sea is  inadequate and will remain that way for a long time to come.

[Edit. Inferred there isn't a threshold ultimate, China will remain always behind the advances the West will achieve.]   With this assurance he goes on to say, a worst case scenario should China bring it on (war), America and its allies including Australia, [Ed. as with IS (Islamic State)] Australia would contribute a "niche" contribution.]  He concludes with strategies Australasia could possibly execute to hold back China's Imperialism.

COMMENT

But wait a moment, as another China watcher (Dr. James Saleam) has stated Australia is undergoing Chinese colonization. So who's to says the course that brought on WW11, will be followed should either of the two "Fifth columns" within the boarder decide to seduce national support from without. Suggested if something is valued there's an answer -- see ASC blog 11th June 2015.    

In summary where the two specialists on the subject agree, (and what members and myself might not have known), is the "fragility" spoken of by both; "fragility" meaning the number of demonstrations and disobedient rallies with China, causation the CCP, which also may be related to the foregoing.

Because of China's associations with Australia the following article quotes statistical figures, recalled stated during the Present.  The Weekend Australia 3-4 October 2015, 20 Inquirer "World of Woe for Turnbull" Henry Ergas.

Link to alternative site for immediate play of discussion following. 

712_0132 08/15

Present 2.

This doco. brought to the meeting may be due to Don's law education.  A American past president, his wife since January 21, 2009 till now Secretary of State, so on it went to reveal a family foundation, a trust to benefit a gradation of countries from old World established to new World and third World desperate.  A (past) president who according to his wife -- later Secretary of State -- left office assumed in penury carrying debt.  [ Ed. club members as myself would have recalled instances of recent Prime Ministers of this country on retirement with wealth and business interests]. Does it seem unnatural for the bloke in question -- a subject of the book -- to capitalize on fame by delivering address' at a price  wherever invited. No, this is not why this globe setter and wife happened to catch the author's attention, it was because what elsewhere would be called "insider trading".  Being in a position to gain advantage at financial loss borne by an other(s).  However this isn't the case presented, no misappropriations -- remember, lady Secretary -- as foreign aid money got mixed with that of the foundation.  Apparently, what doco. viewers, (the readers of the book) and Don are left to ponder are a numerous instances of coincident; if this pair's activities were "insider trading" positions, charges and convictions as law determined would have followed, the analogy doesn't hold here [ed. this confirmed by the author].
             
The lady Secretary implicated in the sale of uranium which eventually came under the control of Mr. V. Putin, this definitely, Not A "Cool" Decision


Link to alternative site for immediate play of discussion following. 

712_0134 08/15


CONCLUSION with a vote of thanks for the secretary evenings events.

Monday, September 14, 2015

9th July 2015 Opposer WW11, CSG opposition & Imperial ambition

The agenda presented by the club secretary Mr. D. Brooke
Subjects presented in order with the secretary's recorded introduction

Introduction 

Recorded Introduction:
Link to alternative site for immediate play 
[ASC Audio_ 17 07/15 ]


Audio_17 07/15


Present 1.

Interesting video from the 60's -- either Thames or BBC television -- this black and white recording, an interview with Sir Oswald Mosley conducted by a well known presenter then and since. Sir Oswald a politician of the 30's and 40's during WW11, he believed had the Reich (Germany) won the war Britain would have been economically better off with this outcome. Difficult to argue with this position as what has happened since. Backing-up his impressions with now historical fact and as he understood the politicking taking place during that era.  There was a public gallery, the audience apparently drawn significantly from London's East End, with favoured* people representation. For others present the hostility towards Sir Oswald would have been palpable.  [ Sir Oswald was the former head of the British Union of Fascists]    

* A popular belief held as to the identity of the people of the Bible.


Present 2.

CSG (Coal Seam Gas) extraction, and the opposition of rural folk by the end of the first decade this century.  Fracking began in America in the early 1970's and by the end of the 70's had come to Australia.  Apparently it grew slowly, but the enormity as members saw and learnt, commenced "big time" from about the mid-nineties.  Apart from profits going off-shore, with 54% of Australian's continent either under license or extraction is a challenge to what the mind can conceive, 2% (or less) of the employed population was/is engaged in this activity -- it has to be seen (the aerial visual captures) to be believed.  The "opposition" comes from a genuine concern about health issues experienced in rural communities, agriculture and land despoliation.    


Present 3.

A threatening situation revealed in this video; whereby, eight countries dispute sovereign rights over the South China (aka Yellow) Sea and basically three group of islands (or reef) -- Spratly, Paracel and Scarborough -- presumed holding oil and gas wealth.  America has a presence there, resisting all contenders (the "eight") claiming sovereignty.  America has a naval presence and the South China seaway is strategic for the movement of its fleet and merchant vessels.  Be that as it may, Chinese claim to sovereignty of this seaway is historically spurious. Never the less the Chairman (Mao) in 1949 apparently decreed the South China Sea  was to be regarded as a continuation of the Yellow Sea (to the North).  A commentator said because of the chairman's dictate back in 1949, the Chinese will never give up on its claim to possess this China and other island nations encircled water. By thaw-ting US diplomacy particularly with rival claimants (to those of China), and by occupation of the most Southern Spratly group China hopes to get recognition to this sea territory. It is understood the stand-offs between the "eight" and the US has not been brought to the/a international court(s) for territorial determination.  Vietnam attempted to drill for oil but stopped, intimidated by China into submission.  So, inferred from the doco. a message for those who should be concerned, stave-off the day when either of the two "heavies" start drilling the sea as did Vietnam.  


Link to alternative site for immediate play of discussion following. 

712_128 07/15

CONCLUSION with a vote of thanks for the secretary evenings events.